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Are you losing money? – 10 Common Pitfalls for Commercial Tenants to Avoid

Friday, March 5th, 2010

“Are You Losing Money?” 10 Common Pitfalls for Commercial Tenants to Avoid

Although reading a commercial lease can be difficult and time-consuming, the consequences of not reading can be infinitely more unpleasant. Tenants frequently will only look at the provisions that have direct economic impact. There are, however, provisions buried in the lease which may have unintended impact on the tenant. While a tenant’s ability to delete or modify these objectionable provisions will depend on a number of factors, including, among others, the size and reputation of the tenant, market conditions, the vacancy level of the building, the size of the space and the length of the lease term, every tenant should make an effort to ameliorate the effect of these pro-landlord terms. Some of these provisions are explored below.

1. Common Area Maintenance (“CAM”) Expenses (also known as “Operating Expenses”):

Landlords may try to use this provision as a “profit center.”

• An Operating Expense or CAM provision requires the tenant to pay its pro rata share of the operating expenses incurred by the landlord in the operation and maintenance of the building. Unfortunately, landlords have expanded the list of expenses to include every imaginable expenditure. By doing so, some landlords have turned this provision into a profit center. Instead, the provision should only pass through to the tenant legitimate expenses relating to the operation and maintenance of the common areas.

• The tenant should carefully review the history of the building’s CAM charges for at least the three prior years. This will enable the tenant to compare the amount of operating expenses and their annual increases to other comparable buildings to determine whether they are reasonable, and to estimate what the charges might be in future years.

• The CAM provision should be rewritten so that only “legitimate” CAM charges are included and items such as capital improvements and compliance with laws are excluded. Most landlords will accept what has become known in the industry as a standard list of operating expense exclusions.

• Particular attention must be given to the definition of the base year in any CAM clause which requires the tenant to pay its prorata share of expenses incurred over a base year. The tenant should make certain that the tenant has no obligation to pay for expenses during the base year and that the base year variable expenses are subject to a “gross up” to reflect the full amount of operating expenses that would have been incurred by the building had it been 100% occupied.

• Watch out for any provision making the landlord’s determination of CAM charges final. The tenant should reserve the right to audit the landlord’s expenses and to review the landlord’s calculations.

• Review the operating expenses clause against the compliance with laws, repair and maintenance and real property tax clauses to prevent the landlord from passing through to the tenant expenses which it may have solely assumed under these and other clauses.

• Alternatively, if the situation permits such negotiation, attempt to insert a maximum upper limit (“cap”) on CAM charges, or a “kick out” clause allowing the tenant to terminate the lease if CAM charges exceed a certain amount.

2. Repair and Maintenance Provision:

Landlords may try to use this provision to require the tenant to repair and maintain areas located outside the leased premises.

• There are great distinctions among the clauses that define the tenant’s obligations under the lease with respect to repair and maintenance.

• The tenant must pay particular attention to any repair and maintenance provision that requires the tenant to repair and maintain items or areas that are traditionally the landlord’s responsibility.

• A typical lease will define repair and maintenance obligations with reference to the interior of the premises. However, depending on the definition of the premises, this may result in the tenant’s having to repair and maintain such things as plumbing, sprinklers, HVAC ducts, and the building’s structural elements.

• It is imperative that the tenant limit its repair and maintenance to the interior surfaces of the leased premises, excluding any structural elements or building systems located therein.

• Define exactly the extent of the tenant’s repair and maintenance obligations, taking care to exclude items such as regular wear and tear or items that are covered by the landlord’s property insurance.

• If the landlord is to be held responsible for the repair and maintenance of certain items, the lease must be specific about these items so that there is no doubt as to which party has responsibility.

• Finally, the tenant should try to make certain that the costs of the repair and maintenance for which the landlord is responsible cannot be passed on to the tenant, through, for example, the operating expense provision.

3. Real Property Taxes:

An unsuspecting tenant may find itself paying real estate taxes and special assessments for a period beyond the expiration of the lease.
• The real property taxes provision defines the respective obligations of the landlord and tenant for real property taxes. Landlords have expanded the definition of real property taxes to include any type of tax assessed against the property, the landlord or for doing business and are increasingly defining taxes to include future taxes of any sort, including rent taxes or income taxes.

• Define precisely which taxes and/or assessments are to be included in the definition of real property taxes and be sure to exclude federal or state income, franchise or estate taxes.

• Make certain that the tenant’s tax and/or assessment responsibilities do not survive the tenancy. That is, if, for example, a three year installment for assessments becomes due at the commencement of the last year of the tenancy, the tenant should be responsible only for its pro rata share of the total amount (i.e. one year).

• The tenant should be aware that its tax liability may increase dramatically if the landlord sells the property, particularly if the landlord has held the property for a long time and property values have greatly increased. The tenant may wish to put some limitation on increases in real property taxes resulting from a change in ownership by, for example, having increases occur incrementally over time or completely eliminated.

4. Compliance with Laws:

A tenant not appreciating the potential effects of this provision may find itself footing the bill for earthquake retrofitting, asbestos abatement, sprinkler installation, or compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act.

• This provision typically requires the tenant to perform potentially expensive replacements, alterations, or improvements of the leased premises to comply with existing or future laws and government orders relating to the leased premises.

• In some instances the landlord agrees to bear the burden of complying with these laws or the lease places the onus to comply with such laws directly on the tenant.

• In either case, it is the tenant who, depending on the particulars of the situation, may have to foot the very substantial bill for items such as asbestos abatement, retrofitting or compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act.

• If the landlord is to bear the responsibility, the tenant must curtail the landlord’s ability to “pass on” the cost of compliance through other provisions, such as the operating expense provision.

• If the tenant is to be responsible for compliance with laws, the landlord should represent and warrant to the tenant in the lease that the building is in compliance with all presently-existing laws and limit its responsibility for compliance with future laws to those items necessitated solely due to the tenant’s particular use of the premises.

•The tenant should try to place a cap on its annual exposure under this provision.

5. Assignment and Subletting:

Asking the landlord for permission to assign or sublet the premises may give the landlord the ability to terminate the lease.

• In the typical commercial lease, the landlord requires the tenant to get the landlord’s consent prior to any assignment or sublet.

Negotiate several exclusions from the consent requirements, including assignment or sublet for reorganization purposes and space-sharing arrangements up to a defined square footage (the latter has particular application to office leases or retail leases where the business is seasonal).

• Where the lease requires consent and the landlord consents to an assignment or sublet, the landlord may get to keep all rents paid by the assignee or subtenant in excess of the tenant’s fixed rent obligation to the landlord. The tenant should ask for at least a portion of this “excess” rent.

• Furthermore, it is imperative that the tenant have subtracted from the “excess” the book value of leasehold improvements made for the assignee or sublessee and any broker’s commissions paid by the tenant in locating the assignee or sublessee. Not doing so may severely overstate the excess rent and can result in a windfall to the landlord.

• In the absence of a release, the tenant will continue to bear the economic risks of paying the rent and all other charges under the lease for the balance of the lease term, including any existing options to to extend or renew (“Options”) following an assignment. The tenant should attempt to get a release of liability for the Option periods.

• Carefully review the lease to determine whether it contains a recapture clause. Under a recapture clause, a request by the tenant that the landlord consent to an assignment or sublet triggers an option enabling the landlord to terminate the tenant’s lease. The tenant should have the recapture clause deleted or should insert an option allowing the tenant to withdraw its request if the landlord elects to terminate the lease.

• Insert a clause that requires the landlord to give the tenant notice of any default following an assignment so that the tenant will have the right, but not the obligation, to cure the default and regain possession of the premises.

6. Subordination, Nondisturbance and Attornment (SNDA) Provision:

If the landlord asks you for what amounts to a favor for the benefit of its lender, the tenant should be sure to get something in return.
• This provision defines the important relationship between the landlord’s current and future lenders and ground lessors, and the tenant in the event the landlord defaults on its loan obligations or obligations to the ground lessor. A subordination clause typically readjusts the priorities that normally would result from general legal rules, by providing, for example, that any existing or subsequent lender of the landlord can elect to deem its deed of trust superior or junior to the lease, regardless of the date on which the lender’s deed of trust was recorded. An attornment provision generally obligates the tenant to recognize the foreclosing lender or ground lessor as the new landlord under the existing lease.

• In exchange for its subordination and attornment agreements, the tenant must assure continuation of its lease by requiring the landlord’s lender or the ground lessor to agree not to disturb the tenant’s lease if the lender forecloses or the ground lessor asserts its right to the property. This becomes especially important to a tenant in a market with little inventory and escalating rental rates. Without a nondisturbance clause tied to the subordination and attornment provisions, the tenant’s lease could be wiped out by virtue of the subordination provision.

7. Tenant Remedies (Termination and Abatement Rights):

A lease containing waivers of tenant remedies may leave a tenant with no place to turn if the landlord defaults in its obligations.

• This clause defines what, if any, remedies are available to the tenant in the event of a default on the part of the landlord.

• Many commercial leases cause the tenant, by accepting the terms of the lease, to waive a host of remedies provided by the law. Other leases fail to mention tenant remedies entirely.

• When negotiating a lease, ideally the tenant would like to preserve its “repair and deduct” rights so that if there is a problem, the tenant can remedy the problem and deduct the cost from its rent; in most cases the landlord will require a waiver of this right.

• A tenant should, therefore, negotiate a lease which contains abatement and termination rights.

• Abatement rights allow the tenant to abate, in proportion to the area of the premises affected, the amount of rent it pays if the landlord fails to remedy items for which it is responsible that interfere with the tenant’s use of or access to the leased premises.

• Termination rights may give the tenant the option, under the above circumstances, to vacate the entire premises without further obligation.

8. Termination, Relocation or Expansion Rights:

A tenant who has not had its lease carefully read may be surprised to learn that the landlord has reserved the right to unilaterally terminate the lease or relocate the tenant.

• A termination provision in favor of the landlord allows the landlord to unilaterally terminate the lease, usually on the occurrence of some condition.

• A re-location provision allows the landlord to relocate the tenant to other premises within the building.

• An expansion provision, on the other hand, may give another tenant the right to expand into the tenant’s premises and may allow the landlord to terminate the tenant’s lease or relocate the tenant.

• Ideally, a tenant should not agree to such clauses.

• If conditions require acceptance, the tenant should make certain that it can only be relocated to a comparable location and position and that the landlord has to pay for all expenses related to the relocation, including the cost of moving the business and installing tenant improvements.

9. Damage and Destruction:

A trap for the unwary.

• This provision provides what will happen if the leased premises or the building housing the leased premises is damaged or destroyed. It typically provides that the landlord may elect, in its sole discretion, to continue the lease or to terminate it. In the case of continuation, it usually provides for an abatement of rent in the same proportion that tenant’s use of the leased premises is impaired.

• The tenant must make sure that the abatement of rent language is fair. Some leases base it on the amount of square footage of the leased premises that is damaged or destroyed. This is unfair since sometimes the entire leased premises may not be useable even where the damage is to a small area.

• The ability to terminate should reside in both landlord and tenant. Otherwise, the tenant may find itself bound to a lease under which it is unable to use the leased premises for a significant time. This can throw a real wrench into any tenant’s business plans.

• Beware of provisions that make the tenant liable for rent if the damage or destruction results from the negligence of the tenant. Why should the tenant remain liable if the landlord has business interruption insurance, or other similar insurance?

• Watch out for provisions that allow the landlord to terminate the lease if the damage or destruction occurs within some period of time (typically the last two years of the lease), and that allow the landlord to invoke the provision where the damage or destruction is to other buildings comprising the project but not effecting the leased premises.

• Make sure the tenant retains the right to complete your improvements following the landlord’s repair or reconstruction before your rent obligation resumes.

10. Tenant Improvements:

Now you see them, now you don’t. If improvements are to be made to the leased premises prior to the tenant’s occupancy, the tenant must understand the economic impact of such improvements and know what it will get.

• Make certain that the obligation to pay rent and other charges do not begin until the tenant improvements are complete.

• Determine whether the landlord will be designing and constructing the tenant improvements at its sole cost (a “turnkey” arrangement) or whether the landlord will be giving the tenant an allowance, with either the tenant or landlord designing and constructing the improvements (an “allowance” arrangement).

• Before entering into the lease, in an allowance arrangement, the tenant should have final space plans and estimates for the work so that the tenant is not exposed for the cost of improvements in excess of the landlord’s allowance or, at the very least, will know how much it will have to pay.

• In both turnkey and allowance arrangements, the tenant must be certain to work with a competent broker and space planner to make certain that the space will be built out to satisfy the tenant’s needs.

• Where the landlord does the design work, reserve the right to look at, review and approve all designs and materials utilized, and the right to make changes up through the design stage of the tenant improvement design documents.

• Additionally, in an allowance arrangement, make sure that the allowance will not be used up for base building work, such as bathrooms located in common areas, asbestos abatement, or sprinkler systems.

• Agreement should be made as to the disposition of the landlord allowance if the actual tenant improvements cost less than the allowance. The landlord would like to keep the unused portion of the allowance, but the tenant should attempt to get the landlord to apply the allowance to the costs of other work that is the responsibility of the tenant under the lease or work letter, pay it to the tenant, off-set it against future rent, or allow the tenant to use some portion of it.

• Negotiate remedies for landlord-caused delay and carefully define and limit the consequences of tenant-caused delay.

Source: Robert C. Nicholas, Esq., Partner, Haas & Najarian

When Should I Start Looking for Office Space to Lease?

Friday, February 26th, 2010

This is by far the most important real estate decision you’ll ever make for your business!

Why? Because if you’re not familiar with how long the commercial real estate leasing or buying process takes, you’ll likely get it wrong. Get it wrong, and you’re in trouble!

I get calls every day from businesses wanting (needing!) office space and they’re ready to “sign a lease tomorrow”. No you’re not! I had three yesterday, hence my urge to post this blog.

Quite simply, the old adage applies..“Failing to plan is planning to fail” and I can’t emphasise enough how crucial it is be proactive and always have a real estate strategy that fits yor business plan so you’re not left high and dry when your lease expires sooner than you thought.

Your business’s real estate is a critical part of your business operations, otherwise you’d do without it; because it’s not cheap! So when it’s time to deal with your corporate real estate you must allow plenty of time to prepare a real estate strategy, understand your options in the marketplace, search for real estate and qualify locations, negotiate and close, do tenant improvements, relocate and get back to business.

Otherwise, you risk making rushed decisions and settling for real estate options that are far from ideal and perhaps restrict the ability for your business to thrive, you’ll waste valuable man-hours running scrambling to find a new location, you’ll lose every ounce of negotiating leverage with a landlord because he’ll know you need the space “tomorrow”, AND it will stress you out!

So don’t procrastinate. Your real estate wont take care of itself. If you’re putting off the process because you don’t have time or don’t know where/how to start, hire a tenant representation broker to do all the leg work for you so you can focus on your business and not worry about your real estate.

Below is a guide to the typical minimum time frame needed to successfully complete the real estate leasing or buying process from start to finish for various sizes of space. Typically, the larger your requirement, the longer it will take.

1,000 SF – 5,000 SF = 3-6 Months
5,001 SF – 10,000 SF = 4-9 Months
10,001 SF – 20,000 SF = 6-10 Months
20,001 SF – 50,000 SF = 8-15 Months
50,001 SF – 100,000 SF = 15-24 Months
100,001+ SF = 24+ Months

WHen asked, I tell every client, “It always takes longer than you think”, and I regret to say that I’ve been right every time. Worst still, it always takes longer than I think too!

Orange County Industrial Real Estate Market Summary by Kurt Strasmann of Voit Real Estate Services

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Kurt Strasmann, Managing Director of Brokerage Services at Voit Real Estate Services, is speaking on the Orange County Industrial Real Estate Market at the IREM (Institute of Real Estate Managers) Conference today.

Here is an overview of what he will be discussing:

1. Vacancy is at 6% currently and we expect vacancy to move up to around 6.75 to 7% by year’s end. Starting in 2011 we expect the vacancy to slowly start moving down again. To give you a perspective the low in vacancy was in the 3rd quarter of 2007 at 3%. Right now the average down time for a vacant building is approx. 12.2 months

2. Availability rate – includes direct vacancy and all sublease availability and is a good indicator of where vacancy is headed. Right now it is at 10.85%. We expect it to hold steady, maybe inch up to 11% and slowly come down by year’s end. Again the low was in 3rd quarter of 2006 at 4.35%

3. Net Absorption: 2009 was an extremely difficult year with approx. 5 million sqft of negative absorption. We see a negative absorption in 2010 by approx. another 1 million sqft. To give you a perspective from 2005- 08 we had an average of 1.25 million sqft. of positive absorption. The high was in 2004 with over 5.5 million.

4. User asking lease rates: Currently the average asking lease rate is $.59 NNN down from the high of $.80 NNN in Jan of 2008- 2 years ago. We see another 5 to 10% maximum downward pressure on rents through the end of the year. Keep in mind these are asking rents, thus effective lease rates are approx. 10-15% off these numbers.

5. User asking sale prices: Currently the average asking sales price is $101 per sqft down from $150 per sqft in Jan of 2008. About 33% decline. We expect to see another 10% decrease in sale prices unless an onslaught of distressed assets hit the market where we potentially another 20% reductions. Again these are asking prices. Sales have been few and far between and generally are far below the average asking price.

6. Investment Market: For stabilized in place market rents on quality assets we see cap rates at 7.5%. For Class B and C product we see cap rates in the 9-10% range. By comparison in 2006 and early 2007 cap rates got down to the 5.5 % range.

7. Future Activity: Activity has increased and it is becoming steady. Private companies and larger corporations are finally making decisions and get deals done vs. last year at this time when nothing was being done. We see this trend slowly increasing as people get used to conducting business in this environment. We are still at least a year away from having any pressure for price appreciation. –Simple too much supply.

8. Distressed Assets: On the industrial side, not much to look at this point. We do see this picking up in the second half of the year. Interesting to note when quality assets are priced aggressively there is no shortage of buyers. Multiple buyers emerge at the right price.

9. Best Opportunities:

a. Users looking to buy or lease product. We are near the bottom and 2010 should be near the low point. If a quality asset comes up that is priced to the market, there is great financing and with no new construction in place – very limited downside. Need to hold 5-7 years
b. Leasing – great time to move up in quality of product and lock in great lease rates for 5 years.
c. Investors- if you can buy at market rents- terrific long term opportunities. We just have not seen much available for sale. Watch out for the class B and C product because vacancy will be very tough.
d. Note Sales- we have seen a few opportunities here and hope note sales will emerge more on the industrial side. The problem is finding a lender that has written off the asset and has priced the note for a market sale.

10. Key indicators to watch:

a. Job Growth: 2009 was negative in OC of 49k 2010 is predicted to have 1,500 positive job growth 2011 should start to see better numbers.

b. Consumer confidence: slowly moving up from the lows of Jan 2009.
c. Retail Sales: low was in Nov 2008 and it has slowly moved up.
d. Port Traffic: LB/LA numbers are still off by 30% but they have increased since the lows of Jan 2009.

Forecast: 2010 will be better than 2009 for everyone. Slow and steady recovery – kind of an L shape recovery. All Four indicators are moving in the right direction, but at very slow pace.

Timing the Orange County Real Estate Market – 6 Reasons to Buy an Office Building for Your Business

Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

Timing the Orange County Real Estate Market – 6 Reasons to Buy an Office Building for Your Business

“Why didn’t I see that coming?’ This is what many business owners say to themselves when an opportunity has past them by. In a turbulent economy, when the future is unknown, there are always missed opportunities, causing company executives to postpone long term decisions, and it’s not until they look in the rear-view mirror that they realize they should have pulled the trigger. Each market cycle has its own unique aspects, but the result is generally the same – time is the main variable. With that being said, there are compelling reasons to believe that the timing is right for business owners to purchase a new building in Orange County.

If a company’s earnings are stable and its business plan has put it in a position to occupy the same size property for the next five years or more, purchasing a building could be the smartest business decision of 2010. As a result of the pricing in the market, the “lease versus own” scenario is coming back into alignment and buying a building is a smart investment choice once again.

For those businesses that fit these criteria, here are six reasons why now is the time to do so:

Reason #1: Prices have already declined in most markets by approximately 25 percent to 40 percent and buildings can now be purchased well below replacement cost.

The current sales taking place in the market are closing escrow 25 to 40 percent off peak values. In most cases, prices are back to their 2004 levels. Properties that have not sold linger due to sellers not being realistically priced in today’s market, but many of them are taking a harder look at their properties with an eye toward price reductions.

Replacement cost is a key component in real estate decisions and is a main factor for the most sophisticated real estate buyers. Buildings can currently be purchased well below replacement cost, allowing businesses to make the smartest investment possible.

Reason #2: There is excellent SBA financing available.

The SBA loan program has not been affected by the financial crisis, and the government is offering discounted fees. Businesses interested in purchasing a property can fix their occupancy costs for five to ten years at a record low interest rate (below six-percent). Not only is SBA financing inexpensive and easy to qualify for, but these loans only require 10 percent down.

If a business has the down payment for the property, it should qualify for this government-backed loan because there is an abundance of available capital and banks are interested in funding these comparatively low risk loans. These loans are preferred by banks because their portion of the loan is only 50-percent loan-to-value and is senior to a 40-percent government bond, making the bank’s risk relatively low. Many small businesses believe there is no money available for loans due to the current financial crisis, but banks continue to offer SBA loans to solid companies wanting to fix their occupancy costs. Also, for a short period of time, the government is significantly discounting the fees.

Furthermore, with inflation and interest hikes expected within as little as 12 to 18 months, the window of opportunity to secure favorable loan terms is now limited. Just one percentage point increase in the interest rate on a loan will have a significant impact on the total purchase cost, potentially amounting to tens of dollars per square foot. So don’t just focus on price. Look at the bigger picture!

Reason #3: The “lease versus own” scenario is back in line.

By buying a building, businesses can fix their occupancy costs for up to 10 years. As their own landlord, businesses will not have to speculate about future lease rates, when leases come up for renewal and owners raise rates to current market values. As the market has shown previously, lease rates will rise and landlords will have their day again.

Reason # 4: Orange County still has great fundamentals.

Orange County commercial real estate fundamentals for the long term are still very good and appreciation will return for owners who purchase space below replacement cost. As history has proven, as the economy recovers and rental rates increase back to record rates in the future, businesses that purchase their own building with fixed rate financing will benefit.

Reason #5: With a large inventory of buildings to choose from, businesses can find the right property and location.

With vacancy rates up and demand for space down, there are more buildings for sale to choose from. Buyers have the opportunity to locate properties with the exact features their businesses need and pay a lower price for them. In a market where sellers had the advantage, businesses were being forced to pay a higher price and compromise on quality. Today, buyers can get a superior price point on a building that better fits their needs.

The current market also allows businesses to negotiate the terms of the sale without the pressure of multiple offers. When the market was booming, properties were in escrow within 30 days, which did not allow sufficient time for negotiation. With today’s high inventory, buyers can now find the right building for their business needs at very favorable terms.

However, we expect to see stabilization in the owner/user office sales market in 2010 and are already see signs of less owner/user office buildings coming up for sale and a steady increase in buyer activity. As the inventory diminishes, so will the opportunity for businesses to buy a building that fits its exact needs.

Reason #6: Commercial real estate cycles typically follow residential and the residential market appears to have bottomed out in some sectors.

The residential market in Orange County appears to be showing signs of improvement, after establishing the bottom with prices that were approximately 40 percent lower than peak values in some submarkets. In these submarkets, residential prices have recently stabilized and are starting to creep higher.

3 important recommendations:

1. Allow plenty of time! The site selection, buying and loan qualifying process can take a long time. When contemplating such a long term commitment and substantial expenditure, don’t risk having to make short term decisions. We typically recommend clients to allow at least 12 months to complete the process to ensure the best results.

2. Hire an expert. If you are not intimately in tune with the latest market data, sale listings, off-market sale opportunities and sale comps and are not experienced in buying commercial real estate, hire a real estate broker to represent you. On most office listings the commissions are paid in full to the listing broker if you are not represented and the listing agreement prevents all or part of the fee from being renegotiated back into a purchase price discount. The benefits you receive from your own real estate broker representative will likely result in a reduction in cost several times the full commission paid if you’re broker is an expert in your marketplace/product type.

3. Don’t wait for the market to hit bottom. If you do, you’re too late. Most substantive data on market and submarket trends isn’t qualified and recognized as a definitive trend until 1-2 quarters after the fact. Learn the market and be proactive in order to time the market perfectly. We are already very close to the bottom!

4. Consider your options. Most of our clients want to buy. Most of them can’t. Most of them don’t realize this until they’ve spent months exploring buying opportunities. Don’t overlook leasing as an alternative. It requires significantly less up front capital expenditure and provides the operational flexibility for your business that a small building can’t afford. Today’s office leasing market offers plenty of opportunities for tenants to fix their occupancy costs at record lows for 5 years without having to buy.

For professional advice, market intelligence, a lease vs. buy analysis, financing options and scenarios and sale listings and off-market opportunities, contact Stefan Rogers at 949.263 5362 / srogers@voitco.com.

Early Office Lease Renewals Trending Upwards in Orange County and San Diego County

Monday, February 1st, 2010

All the latest market data indicates that the Orange County and San Diego office leasing markets have or are about to reach bottom and we are witnessing a sharp increase in early lease renewal activity as a result.

Over the past two years landlords have preferred to sign short term leases so they can hit tenants with a sharp rental increase in 12-24 months time. However, with many landlords needing to combat high vacancy rates in their buildings, many are yielding to the pressure from savvy tenants looking to renegotiate their leases early in order to lock in today’s record low rents before they increase. Significantly reduced overhead and fixing long-term occupancy costs is the key driver for tenants in the current market.

Office rents have fallen as much as 40% off their peak, so if a tenant signed a lease in 2005, 2006, 2007, or even 2008, chances are they are paying significantly more than they should be. Fortunately, there is a quick and easy solution available for tenants to reduce their occupancy costs in line with today’s market and realign their office space with their business plan for the long term, both financially and physically – the early lease renewal.

Many tenants are unaware that landlord’s will consider an early lease renewal as much as three years prior to lease expiration, in attempt to boost occupancy levels in their buildings and maintain long-term cashflows. In such an event, not only can tenants achieve total occupancy savings of as much as 40% but they can secure much needed tenant improvements, lease additional space and recieve substantial rent abatement upon lease execution.

Voit Commercial Tenant Solutions is currently working with a large number clients to evaluate their corporate real estate needs and analyze the benefits of an early lease renewal. With the use of our proprietary “Blend & Extend” Lease Analysis Software, we can quickly determine the total cost savings to a tenant in three easy steps.

For more information and a no-obligation Blend & Extend Analysis, contact Stefan Rogers in Voit Real Estate ServicesIrvine office(949.263.5362) or Jon Hamby in Voit Real Estate Services’ San Diego office (858.458.3357).

The typical results an office tenant caxamples of this include

Voit Commercial Tenant Solutions has developed a solution whereby tenants can remain in their existing space, lower their lease payments immediately, and carry that savings into a longer term than they currently had!

For more information on early lease renewals or “Blend & Extend” programs, call us directly at (858) 458-3357.

Wells Fargo Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary

Friday, January 29th, 2010

U.S. Review
Not All World Series are Won with Walk-off Home Runs

• This week’s GDP release was another single on the road to the economic recovery. There is no economic boom but continued progress is making itself felt. Consumer spending and business investment are two real positives.

• Housing remains an issue. While there has been some improvement, the challenge for 2010 is how mortgage markets react to the end of the Fed’s liquidity injections to the secondary market. Our expectation is that mortgage rates will rise. The issue remains how much and how sensitive is housing demand to such a rise.

Global Review
South Korea’s Growth Nearly Stalls Out in Q4

• The vigorous South Korean economic rebound that began in the first quarter of 2009 slowed to a crawl in the fourth quarter as GDP advanced only 0.2 percent from the third quarter.

• South Korea’s exports, consumer spending and government spending all contracted from October through December, although the 12 percent annualized GDP growth over the previous two quarters made some pause in fourth quarter activity inevitable.

• South Korea’s GDP rose 0.2 percent in 2009 and is expected to advance 5.0 percent in 2010…Click HERE to view the full report.
Source: Wells Fargo

Orange County’s Unemployment Rate Falls to 9.1 Percent

Monday, January 25th, 2010

O.C.’s unemployment rate falls to 9.1 percent. Number is down from November, but it’s up from 2008, says EDD.

Orange County’s unemployment rate fell to 9.1 percent in December, down from a revised 9.6 percent in November, according to stats released by the Employment Development Department. The rate is still significantly higher than last year’s 6.6 percent.

The decline in the unemployment rate is mainly due to the fact that another 11,100 O.C. workers have left the labor force, according to Dr. Wallace Walrod, the Orange County Business Council’s vice president of economic development and research.

“A lot of people stopped actively looking for work due to the holiday time of year and their perception that employers weren’t hiring around the holidays,” he says.

The region’s employers added a total of 600 jobs last month, with trade, transportation and utilities posting the largest uptick. The sector gained 1,500 jobs in December.

Leisure and hospitality also increased by 1,300 jobs. The majority of the gain – 92 percent – was reported in the food services and drinking places sector, according to the EDD. Other increases were seen in the professional and business services and financial activities industries.

But, construction and government each cut 600 positions, and declines were also reported in manufacturing and the information sector, among others.

What’s more, there hasn’t been a significant amount of hiring in the private sector, adds Walrod, because of concerns over the state budget deficit and the business climate.
For the year, the region lost 48,900 positions, and all but one segment reported declines. No change was seen in the mining and logging segment.

The brunt of the decline occurred in the construction sector, which lost 10,800 positions. The majority of that drop came in the specialty trade contractors sector, and positions were heavily cut in building construction, which reported 2,700 eliminated jobs.

Trade, transportation and utilities posted the next largest decline of 10,600, followed by manufacturing, which lost 9,500 jobs, and government, which cut 6,300 positions.

Statewide, the December unemployment rate fell slightly to 12.1 percent, compared to 12.3 percent in November. Nationwide, the number rose to 9.7 percent.

Orange County Ends 2009 with 49,000 Job Losses, Continued Improvement

Friday, January 22nd, 2010

Orange County ended 2009 with 48,900 jobs lost in December from a year earlier, part of a continuing improvement from the worst of the recession.

The county’s unemployment rate was 9.1% last month, down from 9.6% in November 2009 and up from 6.6% a year earlier, according to the state Employment Development Department.

The county saw a 3.3% drop in nonfarm employment in December from a year earlier.

The nearly 49,000 jobs lost in December is historically large for the county but marks a pullback from the high of 72,600 annual job losses hit in April, when the recession was in full swing.

From November to December, the county actually added 600 jobs for a total of 1.4 million workers.

Retail hiring for the holidays led the monthly gain as stores added 1,600 workers.

Leisure and hospitality sector added 1,300 employees for the month.

Professional and business services grew by 600 jobs from December to November.

Job losses in government, construction, manufacturing, technology and education and health services offset gains in other sectors.

For December versus a year earlier, construction continued to lead job losses with 10,800 workers let go.

The trade, transportation and utilities sector, which includes retailers and related services, saw a yearly loss of 10,600 jobs, despite the monthly hiring by retailers in December from November.
Source: Orange County Business Journal

Chapman University Orange County & National 2010 Economic Forecast Event

Wednesday, January 20th, 2010

Yesterday Jerry Holdner, Voit Real Estate Services’ Head of Research attended Chapman University’s 2010 Economic Forecast Event.

Below are the highlights:

National Picture

- Big News – “NO DOUBLE DIP RECESSION” or W – although we should expect a weak recovery
- GDP Growth will be 2.4% , unemployment will hover around 10%
- We should see a restocking of inventories
- More Government spending, they’ve only spent 40% of what they have budgeted
- Consumer spending will increase
- Fed lending rate will increase to 1% over the next 12 months
- Housing prices nationally will increase by 4.2%
- The US Dollar will remain weak, down 13% since March of 09′
- Drop in foreign demand for US debt – Moody’s just downgrade the US & the UK from Triple A to Double A
- The analogy they used for the US Economy was that we are in a loan workout scenario
- Low inflation over the next 12 months
- 10 year bond going to 4% – Treasuries are forming a bubble

California & Orange County

- Exports will increase due to a weak US Dollar
- Residential Housing has hit bottom and has stabilized on properties below 1 Million
- Housing affordability at 48.4% – back to 2001 levels
- Office space lease rates should soften by 10%
- Job losses for California will continue at a slower rate, we should only lose 74,000 jobs in 2010 compared to 666,000 job losses in 2009
- Job losses in Orange County are slowing and will stop in the first half of 2010 then in the second half of 2010 we will begin to add jobs to make up for the first half losses, giving Orange County a net gain in jobs of 1,000 for the year
- The sectors that will be adding jobs: Education, Professional and Business Services, Leisure & Hospitality
- Consumer spending will rebound in 2010
- Gloomy state budget outlook persists

Wells Fargo Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary

Monday, January 18th, 2010

U.S. Review
The Fourth Quarter Ended on a Weak Note

• We raised our estimate of fourth quarter real GDP growth to a 5.6 percent pace based on recent data on business inventories and international trade.

• December economic data continue to come in below expectations. Retail sales declined 0.2 percent and sales excluding motor vehicles fell 0.3 percent.

• The Fed’s Beige Book and the National Federation of Independent Business survey showed conditions continuing to deteriorate across much of the country.

• Consumer prices rose 0.1 percent in December.

Global Review
The British Economy Appears to be Growing Again

• After enduring a horrific recession for six quarters it appears that real GDP growth in the United Kingdom turned positive again in the fourth quarter of 2009. Consumer spending appears to be leading the way in the recovery, but capital spending and exports may have strengthened as well.

• The Bank of England will probably want more insurance that the incipient recovery will morph into a lasting expansion before it begins to hike rates. In our view, the Bank will wait well into the second half of the year before beginning to raise rates…Click HERE to view the full report:
Source: Wells Fargo

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